Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Gambling Problem? 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. The 30-year-old. With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. Holliman has one stunning prediction for this week: Fantasy players should fade Rahm and look for better value. Fortunately, putting tends to have massive swings to the positive and negative each week, so if Conners can continue to strike the ball as well as he did in 2020, its just going to take an average putting performance or two to find his second tour win. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. 2 Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. He is 58 under par over the past three years in La Quinta. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. 8. He just cant find ways to make putts. Responsibly put your life savings on this matchupresponsibly. McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every tournament 10,000 times, taking factors like statistical trends, past results and current form into account. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Will Gordon: Will hasn't played in a few weeks, since WD'ing from Pebble. The Honda Classic is this week, and the PGA Tour moves to Florida for a standard week at PGA National. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Powers, Golf Digest: Byeong-Hun An (55-1, BetMGM) Boy does it feel good to type Bennys name in this space again. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic last year but finished T-8 in 2021 and won in 2020. 1, but Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm can make an argument for being the best. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. For 2020, he ranked eighth in strokes gained/off the tee, one spot behind Bubba Watson and one spot ahead of Xander Schauffele. McClure is also targeting an undervalued player who's primed to play extremely well, giving you a huge return on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Redman is proving to be one of the more talented ball-strikers on tour, finishing 11th in strokes gained/approach for the 2020 seasonand he has already improved his putting, lifting him to two top-four finishes in six starts in the new season. He is in the top 35 in every strokes gained category, including 13th around the green and 21st putting. January 10, 2022 DFS Golf Picks Digest the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii, and check out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Plus, Bubba has his Bubba Tracks, (Riviera, Austin Country Club, TPC River Highlands and Augusta National) where hell always be live at a decent price a few times a year, regardless of form. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. 2023 The American Express expert picks, betting rankings and fantasy 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at His putter has been lethal during the swing and into the new year, averaging almost +1.5 SG: PUTT over his past 20 rounds. He just split ways with his caddie that he has pretty much had since getting his PGA Tour card, and any caddie knows that a player will usually ball out the first week with a new caddie. Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix. He hasn't finished higher than 13th in the past four years at Riviera. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Houston Open: Jason Day. Scanning through his five career international wins between the DP World and Challenge Tours, they all come on a combination of short, links and/or wind-affected tracks with his best U.S. finishes all coming at more difficult than average courses: TPC Southwind, Torrey Pines, St. Georges and The Concession. Denny McCarthy: McCarthy had a great showing against a strong field last week and could be trending toward that first PGA Tour win. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. That means there is a lot to consider when making your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks. Scheffler finished the year ranked fifth in strokes gained/off the tee and 13th in SG/tee-to-green. Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. Harold Varner III (particularly for first-round leader bets). The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. PGA Tour one-and-done is a popular fantasy golf game, with private one-and-done leagues and public PGA Tour games. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS: Top FanDuel, DraftKings daily Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. McClure's model included J.T. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine. I worry that he will be exposed on these Bermudagrass greens, but the recent form and price is too appealing to pass up. Shriners: Sungjae Im. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. Somewhere along the line, you need to be able to save a par or two to win an event. Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. Combine that with Sean O'Hair and Fritelli being extremely inconsistent, this is my whale play of the week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Especially at this course, one he hasnt turned up at since 2011, likely for the same reasons as all the other big-time players - its impossibly hard, theres water everywhere and it makes the worlds best look like us. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Course history has been strong at Pebble Beach. NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Fantasy Insider Sleeper Picks: WM Phoenix Open Taylor Montgomery (+180 for a Top 20) Yeah, yeah, the. "There are better ways to spend your valuable cap money," the expert says. Hoge was tied with Hossler and Putnam last year, Berger was T2, one stroke behind Spieth in 2021, and Phil Mickelson was three back of Paul Casey entering the final round in 2019. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. 12:31 pm ET, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman, You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine, See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, The American Express 2023 Fantasy golf picks, lineups, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. 2023 The Honda Classic one and done picks. Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. The Loop on Apple Podcasts Thats all thats standing in the way of him and another multi-win season. WMPO: Sungjae Im. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. cashed outright winners the past two weeks, most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Genesis: Justin Thomas. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. The Sony Open in Hawaii Gehman: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Ive probably spent more money on Aaron Wise than anyone on the planet and not even I can get there this week. So you better be crunching the right data to gain an edge in whatever contests youre entering. 2022: The winner checked in at $8,500 and scored 25.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2021: The winner checked in at $10,100 and scored 21 more DK points than anyone else, 2020: The winner checked in at $7,000 and scored 23.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2019: The winner checked in at $9,600 and scored 19.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2018: The winner checked in at $7,100 and scored 20 more DK points than anyone else. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) Wise has the right profile for a pop-up win. American Express: Brian Harman. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. Farmers: Jason Day. 2023 The Honda Classic expert picks, betting rankings and fantasy golf tips Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. In fact, his last three tournaments in the states were on the Korn ferry Tour where he missed two cuts and didnt finish in the top 25 in the other. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. 6. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Genesis: Justin Thomas. McNealy has long been on the verge of a breakthrough, and tends to do his best work on shorter courses with small greens. Min Woo Lee: MWL is making the rare US start, so it will be interesting to see if his great DP World Tour form carries over this week. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. For the The American Express 2023, Holliman is backing a massive sleeper for Fantasy rosters who is priced at $7,000 at DraftKings and has triple-digit odds to win at Caesars. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. All Rights Reserved. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/IL) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN only) or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA only) or 1-800-522-4700 (CO Only) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Torrey Pines is spilt between Poa and Bentgrass between the courses. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. 3. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for PGA Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Scottish Open Picks and Predictions: Look for Jon Rahm, Luke List To Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. In addition, McClure's model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Over the past two years, Varner trails only Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy in the number of times his name has been on top of the leader board after 18 holes. Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. 2022 Valero Texas Open fantasy picks, rankings, sleepers: Expert says The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your. That's why has finished in the top 10 three straight times, including a runner-up spot in 2021. Recently, weve seen the irons get hot at certain times, too. Hennessey: Chris Kirk As I mentioned above, I love Kirk as a top-10 bet this weekand though he might not have the winning equity youd want in a One and Done bet, the consistency is reason to go with him here. Expert Picks: Rocket Mortgage Classic - PGATour Our job is to pick the guys who wont be made to look like fools at PGA National's Champion course this week. Lack: Adam Svensson (33-1, BetMGM) I had no problem with bettors grabbing the 60-1s on Adam Svensson on Monday morning, but I do believe he's over-valued at his current number. World Golf Rankings 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions, PGA betting advice from DFS expert Mike McClure has locked in his PGA one and done picks and. 2022 RSM Classic odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from golf model Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. The putter is roughly average, but thats a lot different than terrible. I expect Poston to bounce back from a disappointing performance at Riviera and roll easily over Svensson. THINK YOU'RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the. Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. Rahm is the favorite, priced at 7-1 at Caesars Sportsbook, followed by McIlroy and Scheffler, both at 10-1. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Bermuda: Russell Knox. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. From Gehman: Redman has all the makings of a breakout candidate. Thats normally his bread and butter so to see him struggle there is raising massive red flags. There are key metrics that serve as early indicators for when tour pros appear on the verge of a breakout season. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win?