The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts All rights reserved. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Whereas Tester . They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight The State Of The Polls, 2016. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. Instagram did not return a 200. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. June 2, 2016. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. r/fivethirtyeight. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Happy holidays! The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. This is the final episode. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. FT Podcasts | Financial Times During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. heritage commons university of utah. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? [00:00:19] The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. This Day In Esoteric Political History Radiotopia They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. 2,. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different.